Analysis and forecast of residential building energy consumption in Chongqing on carbon emissions

来源期刊：中南大学学报(英文版)2009年第z1期

论文作者：李沁 刘猛 钱发

文章页码：214 - 218

Key words：carbon emissions； factor analysis； gray prediction model； residential building； energy consumption

Abstract: Carbon emissions mainly result from energy consumption. Carbon emissions inevitably will increase to some extent with economic expansion and rising energy consumption. We introduce a gray theory of quantitative analysis of the energy consumption of residential buildings in Chongqing,China,on the impact of carbon emission factors. Three impacts are analyzed,namely per capita residential housing area,domestic water consumption and the rate of air conditioner ownership per 100 urban households. The gray prediction model established using the Chongqing carbon emission-residential building energy consumption forecast model is sufficiently accurate to achieve a measure of feasibility and applicability.